That's a significant change, particularly if the roof is open at State Farm Stadium. However, games played on grass saw the touchback rate drop to an implied -122. However, both teams returned kicks at a slightly higher than average rate this season relative to their total points allowed, which I'm using as a proxy for kickoff return chances. Both came in right around 65%, with the "yes" at -164 implying 62%. The Eagles and Chiefs ranked 11th and 12th, respectively, in touchback percentage this season. Unless, of course, there's something different about either team involved, the stadium at play or some other factor that makes this game different. With that smack in the middle of the two lines here, that's not much of a value. Will the Opening Kickoff Be a Touchback: Yes -164 | No +126 ( FanDuel)īased on all NFL games over the past two seasons, I have the odds of any given kick to be a touchback at a fair price of -143.
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